"The current trade between our province and the scale of Taiwan ranked first in the provinces and municipalities, mainland China accounted for 24.4% of the total value of trade with Taiwan." Zhao Jin, deputy director of Jiangsu Provincial Department of Commerce, held yesterday, "ECFA Early Harvest Programme for Trade in Goods Seminar "Nanjing station proudly.

According to reports, Taiwan's sixth largest trading partner of Jiangsu, Jiangsu, Taiwan is currently the biggest investor in mainland China, Taiwan-funded enterprises in the province, one of the most intensive. Import and export volume of trade in goods from the "Eleventh Five-Year" in early 260 million U.S. dollars to 35.5 billion in 2010. Jiangsu exports to Taiwan of which 7.2 billion, up 47%; imports 28.3 billion, an increase of 41%. Taiwan has for many years ranked the top three sources of imports in Jiangsu.

The signing of ECFA is a new milestone in the development of cross-strait relations, including trade in goods early harvest list on January 1 this year, officially implemented, Zhao Jin believes that the trade situation from both sides, Jiangsu and Taiwan earlier list of product trade has received highly complementary, "early harvest plan reduces the cost of trade related products, help to enhance the competitiveness of the two products, and expand trade scale Jiangsu and Taiwan, for the import and export business is the gospel." Zhao Jin highlighted Early Harvest Programme of Taiwan than the mainland range of products, products, tariff reduction, tariff reduction by a big margin, so the level of benefit is greater than imports from Taiwan, Taiwan exports, imports from Taiwan, Jiangsu expansion faces a more favorable opportunity.

In addition, since June 2009 opening of Taiwan to the mainland for the first time, including manufacturing, services, public construction and other industries since the 192, Taiwan, Su-way flow of industrial capital began to flow in both directions by the development. As of the end of 2010, Jiangsu has nine companies to invest in Taiwan, a total investment of $ 17,130,000, covering software, communications equipment and computers, catering, business services, wholesale and other industries. Among them, the innovative electronic Taizhou, Jiangsu Tian Gong, Rui Tang, and other enterprises to develop new markets in Taiwan have established marketing network. With the gradual improvement of ECFA is expected that more invest in Jiangsu enterprises to Taiwan.

Ten days to open in 2011, nitrogen fertilizer industry is facing difficulties. Secretary for Economic Development and Reform Commission 11 days before the official said, this year, May and June, the state will be newly introduced status of implementation of tariff policy in 2011 mid-year assessment. The industry believes that: This is a signal, reflects the policy level to reduce the supply of fertilizer this year and concerns about rising fertilizer prices have continued to adjust the second half of the possible off-season tariffs.

Reporter learned from China Nitrogen Fertilizer Association Web site, as of November 2010, down by 3.591 million tons of urea production. Although the data has not been announced in December, but the estimated annual cut at least 400 million tons of urea. The next 3 months from the observed trends or urea production cuts will continue. Widely believed, limited electricity, natural gas tension and energy conservation in the early production was shut down and other factors, the first quarter of this year is expected to cut production of urea will be about 150 million to between 1.7 million tons. At the same time, urea exports increased substantially over last year. As of last November, representing a net increase of 2.13 million tons of urea exports, the net increase in annual export is expected to not less than 250 tons.

There is a market observer that the view from the domestic supply of urea, urea supply and demand balance has been broken, to the first half of 2011, is expected to urea supply will be reduced by 700 million tons compared to about the same period, affected, and in the spring fertilizer driven, then the price of urea is expected to stand on the high point of 2,100 yuan.

Urea side cut, side surge in exports, a reduction in this increase, equal to the total supply of domestic urea market by at least 800 million tons year on year. But given the current port to wait for another 50 million tons of exports of urea, urea has not yet included in the total exports in 2010 were, so that by the end of the first quarter of this year, compared with the same period the domestic supply of urea to reduce the number should be in 8.5 million tons.

In addition, due in January 2011 to 6 months for the high tariffs on exports almost impossible, if the first half of 2010 the total export volume of 1.54 million tons of urea as a basis, this part of the original return for the export of urea to the domestic market, will increase domestic supply, so, if ignored the second quarter of urea industry may face cuts, the total domestic supply of urea then fell to 700 million tons.

From the supply perspective, the trend is obvious shortage of urea. Based on this point, the industry speculated that Yang's market price of urea Huojin will continue into the off-season tariff of approaches, and to the national implementation of the new price of fertilizer has brought enormous pressure regulation.

Long-term follow-up study nitrogen fertilizer market information that industry observers Wang Jinan: the first half of this year will maintain the upward trend in prices, in March and 6,7 month time period will be two key points. Under the new policy, into July, urea exports of low tariffs window will open, when fertilizer prices have continued to be ascribed. If the years have changed the domestic inflation situation is difficult, the international fertilizer market continues to pick up, in this case, the possibility of further tightening of policy-level tariffs, or even take some temporary market interventions.

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Must pay attention to the macroeconomic impact

Assessment of customs duties in mid-2011 and the possibility of re-adjustment factors, in addition to the above, there are two important variables, namely the continued rise in the international fertilizer market, first, changes in the domestic CPI indices, if both of which are rising trend, lead to tariff re-tune the chips to stabilize fertilizer prices will be greatly increased.

From the present point of view, this possibility is on the rise. Recently, the International Fertilizer Industry Association said in a report by the second half of 2010, support crop prices, the global fertilizer demand in 2010 and 2011 rose 4.7% to 171.4 million tons, a record high, in which nitrogen demand up 1.6% to 104.2 million tons.

The large number of agencies that will increase inflationary pressure in 2011. The consumer price growth next year may reach 5% of the high level, even for individual months close to 6%.

According to customs statistics, from January to December 2010, Guangxi Province, the total export of aquatic products was 2.4 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 59.3%, mainly in general trade export. Imports of aquatic products amounted to $ 3,670,000, up 409%, mainly in general trade-based.

There are varieties of tilapia exports of shrimp, squid, cuttlefish and pomfret, etc., of which frozen tilapia fillets at 4.7 million tons, up 60.2%; export market, mainly the United States, Mexico, Egypt and the Russian Federation, 4.9 million tons, accounting for 71%.

Nes the main varieties of imports frozen fish, frozen mackerel, frozen octopus and so on, which is 2209 tons frozen fish nes, an increase of 64.6%; import market mainly in Indonesia, 3.3 million tons, accounting for 97%.

Maotai a price increases, have led to public opinion, the collective crowd. Storm died down in price when there broke the news that Maotai price "differentiated" couple of pounds of Maotai sell $ 220 in New York, are translated into RMB 1,400 yuan. In China, the selling price of a pound to more than Maotai thousand dollars. The news came out, Maotai again brought to the air waves.

In fact, "the outside of your base" is a new topic, "China" inside and outside the price inversion has become a common phenomenon. In this regard, bought abroad in recent years where people have personal experience of something.

In accordance with the common sense of economics, as channels of distribution costs and profit factors, the price of a commodity than in the origin of sales to cheaper. And "the outside of your base" phenomenon shows just completely inconsistent. Why is a simple common sense of alienation as a very serious problem? Which experts and scholars analyzed from different angles. Including "the difference of internal and external brand" that some commodities in the country is "brand names" to spread the exit after the goods become; that there are "differences in distribution costs, said," that "had goose plucking" type agents and marketing expenses, pushed up the cost of distribution; there, "said the high cost of macro-management" that led to the abuse of public power increased social costs as a whole, and this cost will ultimately be passed on to the products above, and so on. The author believes that these factors only "outside the base in your" the waves are really set off waves of it is caused by a series of policies over exports.

Theory of comparative advantage in international trade, a country should focus on production and export of a "comparative advantage" of products, imports have a "comparative disadvantage" products. Compared with developed countries, people have the technology, capital, and brand, and we only labor costs and processing and assembly areas of comparative advantage. In order to stimulate economic growth, the state proposed to expand the export strategy, developed a series of policies to encourage exports, most notably the export tax rebate policy. From a development perspective, in order to import capital and technology to expand the export strategy is timely and necessary. This must be affirmed.

Appropriate policy to be effective can not do without the background and stage. Balance in the foreign exchange reserves exceeded 2.8 trillion, expanding domestic demand has become a pressing situation, the effectiveness of export promotion policies have greatly reduced the positive. In fact, this is the export tax rebate policy, is now a source of many of the profits of export enterprises, but also spend much competition as we fight the power source of exports. In order to increase exports, some companies bargain with each other, even if not posted, how dare you even make money orders, and its export tax rebate is brought to earn meager profits. Guizhou Cereals, Oils and Foodstuffs Import and Export Corporation, according to the staff that were lower than the domestic ex-factory export Maotai cheaper, but also enjoy tax rebates, export subsidies, so even if paid to the bank after the country's tariff, the price also excellent in the domestic lot. Export competition fight results to deviate from the direction of export of goods, out of the some of the economic track. As Liquor, in the domestic market has been hot people Xiaoshoubuqi the need to cut yourself, "national drink" to a foreign country join in the fun worth it? Thus, in the present circumstances, policy-oriented enterprises for exports not only lead to over-pursue, but also caused prices inside and outside the inversion of this strange phenomenon.

From the total supply and total demand perspective, the excessive pursuit of exports will further exacerbate the imbalance between supply and demand in the domestic market so that prices inside and outside the inversion worse. We export $ 1 for every commodity, we must follow the RMB exchange rate to balance the issuance of the corresponding. Export more, the delivery of the tickets are more. This cycle continues, it will form a vicious circle: the export reduction led to domestic goods, and the resulting issuance of tickets are left in the domestic market, prices will naturally rise in pressure and power; and foreign markets is just the opposite. Therefore, the domestic and international markets is very important to the balanced development, excessive pursuit of exports, surplus value, internal and external price inversion is not surprising.

As the saying goes: where mountains which song to sing. To the good run, world outlook and methodology are equally important. Whether from the perspective of solving internal and external prices upside down, or from the structural adjustment and balanced development of the height, continued export expansion strategy is necessary, timely adjustment of export policy is necessary.

Shijiazhuang, latest customs statistics, the scale for the first time in 2010 in Hebei Province's foreign trade passed the four billion dollars, to 41.93 billion U.S. dollars. The scale of foreign trade to continue living in the top ten, and ranked tenth last year, import and export rates that ranks the top ten, respectively, higher than the national year 7 and 13 percentage points.

This reporter has learned into the national top ten in the neighboring provinces of the situation, Beijing, Shandong, Tianjin and Liaoning points out of the top ten of the first 4,6,8,9-bit, import and export volume was 301.4 billion, 1889 billion, 82.2 billion and 806 billion dollars.

Although the province's foreign trade remains a large gap, but this is the first time in Hebei province's foreign trade passed the four billion dollars. The industry sort out the path of foreign trade development in Hebei Province, introduced in 2004, Hebei Province, the first time billions of dollars in foreign trade, from after the Fast Track; 3 years after the station with 200 billion dollars, and spent only 1 year time exceeded 300 billion U.S. dollars; the 2008 financial crisis, although the growth process was interrupted, but the rapid recovery after the crisis in our province's foreign trade in 2010, the province's foreign trade up again, and to achieve a new historic breakthrough, the annual import and export of accumulated 41.93 billion U.S. dollars, up 41.5% over the same period.

2010, this $ 41,930,000,000, the export volume slightly higher than the imports. Exports of 22.57 billion U.S. dollars, imports 19.36 billion U.S. dollars, up respectively 43.9% and 38.9%.

In the past December 2010, monthly imports and exports in Hebei Province rose to highest level throughout the year, amounting to $ 4,270,000,000, $ 4,000,000,000 during the year exceeded the scale again, an increase of 39.2%.

Industry analysis, comprehensive data can be seen above, in 2010, Hebei's foreign trade to benefit both the global economic recovery and expansion of external demand and accelerating economic development, fiscal and taxation policies to support effective and other positive factors, but also the local situation is not subject to external OK, the pressure of RMB appreciation, rising raw material prices and many other negative factors. Opportunities and challenges facing the situation, and ultimately made the better development of foreign trade to achieve the "Eleventh Five-Year," the perfect closing off.

Look the province's foreign trade in 2010, can draw some conclusions trend: the high-tech solar cells as the representative and automotive industries as the gradually increase the proportion of export of electromechanical products; traditional industries such as steel, textiles and clothing as a leader to accelerate the transformation and upgrading , rapid increases in the size, growth rate of linear rise; the European Union and other traditional market share expansion, the potential of emerging markets such as ASEAN mining; Baoding, Langfang and other cities give full play to industry and geographical advantages, the progressive realization of advantages of industrial clusters. The direction of the province's foreign trade is steadily moving towards health

Although the international trade friction intensified, fasteners difficult corporate restructuring and upgrading, but in 2010, Zhejiang Jiaxing fastener industry is still very productive.

Jiaxing, Zhejiang Province, according to the Import and Export Enterprises Association, the Secretariat said fastener, 1 November 2010, Jiaxing fastener products import and export volume reached 722.7 million U.S. dollars, the export amount of $ 703,560,000, an increase of 52.61%, imports $ 19,140,000, up growth of 28.20%.

Certainly benefit from the global economic recovery, the gradual recovery in external demand, but also import and export association with the local innovation are inseparable.

It is understood that the face of growing trade friction in recent years, the export association positive response, and actively protect the interests of the industry.

2009, responding to U.S. anti-dumping and countervailing investigations of carbon steel fasteners made the case of victory is so far the United States Huakai Qi "double reverse", China's only 20 cases with no harm to terminate the preliminary investigation of the case, is China's fastener industry since the survey experienced a number of trade remedy cases only one victory. In this case, Jiaxing City, give full play to "four-body interaction," the role of the working mechanism of fair trade, worked out a set of effective measures to deal with responding to other sectors of international trade friction and accumulated experience.

"The Association held a timely response to the U.S. Fasteners 'dual' investigation lessons learned on the spot, to promote 'Jiaxing experience'." The association said one insider.

The case involved the production and trade of Jiaxing fastener 90 enterprises, involving 97 million U.S. dollars, the 24 companies responding to varying degrees, have been heavily taxed. The face of a clear violation of WTO rules the European Commission and the EU anti-dumping law practice, Jiaxing City Fasteners Import & Export Enterprise Association letter to appeal to the Ministry of Commerce, the Chinese Government in negotiations with the EU at the same time increasing, the use of WTO dispute settlement mechanism to regulate in Europe Authority's investigation procedures, the European Commission to stop the abuse of anti-dumping rules.

The relevant departments and associations work together to the World Trade Organization December 3, 2010 ruling, the European Union on Chinese steel fasteners (such as screws and bolts) the practice of imposing anti-dumping duties, in violation of WTO regulations. This also means that the appeal as the representative of Jiaxing enterprise team, WTO dispute settlement procedures in the search for more than a year later, is expected to re-open the door to the EU market was closed.

The association also take preventive measures, timely collection and dissemination of early warning information. Last September, the European Commission was informed that preparations for the import of Chinese origin from Malaysia, but anti-circumvention investigations initiated by the fastener, with factories in Malaysia immediately reminded of the enterprises to actively respond.

Meanwhile, the association also actively promote the Department of Commerce to the EU import tax fastener products to help enterprises to calmly deal with the EU anti-dumping sunset review of stainless steel fasteners and so on. In addition, the association also actively participate in the standard revision, and vigorously promote enterprise restructuring and upgrading.

Face serious challenges in 2011, the association established to strengthen the platform, guide enterprises to eliminate backward production capacity and other priorities.

"I will have to continue to help enterprises enhance their confidence, Baotuan heating, actively dealing with international trade friction and maintain business interests." The source said, should continue to strengthen the platform, including the information service platform, financial services platform and technology incubation platform construction.

To guide the enterprises to implement energy-saving production. Such as the accelerated introduction of more than five station nut cold heading machine, more than three-position screw machine, high speed thread rolling machine and other high-speed automated production equipment; improve the heat treatment, surface treatment technology, production equipment and other technical standards.

Should further strengthen cooperation with the European Association of Fastener Distributors Association, the British Association of Fastener Distributors, Manufacturers Association of the German fasteners friendly exchanges, for the United States, India, Russia Association of fasteners to establish contacts, strengthen trade exchanges and communication, to seek opportunities for cooperation, to avoid trade friction

Recently there have been news that, after the first 11 months of last year's exports pick up, with its European and American-based foreign furniture buyers make up orders while the number of stocks began to decline due to, resulting in some of the furniture export factory in Dongguan have reduced staff size reduction, Some factories were even prepared to shut down. Allegedly, furniture exports are expected early next year, is not optimistic.

Recently, the reporter called upon a number of furniture manufacturing enterprises in Dongguan understand the living condition of 冰火两重天 business - orders and medium-sized enterprises in good condition, and no significant declines, but because of old age turn, corporate overtime nervous rush. The reporter also asked to be, to some small foreign-based furniture company is facing a different situation: trapped in raw material prices, reduce the bargaining power of enterprises, there is the loss of orders situation.

Orders uneven heating and cooling conditions

"Orders from the European and American businessmen and the situation well, even some of our tight supply." Thaipusam Furniture Co., Ltd. of Dongguan City, responsible person interview said.

Thaipusam dining and living room furniture, furniture, major production series, is a medium-sized furniture manufacturing company. The responsible person said, because the company has been committed to the United States, Canada and European market development and sales of products in the United States and Europe already have a certain reputation, so do not worry about the order.

Dongguan Tang Yi Furniture Co., Ltd. The same optimism. The company Tangjing Li said the number of foreign orders has not changed compared with previous years almost.

Children's furniture production Huaya children and adolescents with family furniture products are exported to India, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Australia, the Middle East and other countries. Leader Liu said, "Compared with the domestic part of, or the proportion of export performance, whether from the point of view to be better, and our order has not been reduced."

Liu Tan said the company has been focusing on development in recent years, South Asia, Eastern Europe, Russia, the Middle East and other emerging markets, the current growth in demand in these markets relatively quickly. "This enables a single dependent on U.S. and European markets to improve the situation."

However, it is understood that some small businesses the situation is not satisfactory. Manager Liu wind furniture frankly to reporters: "As far as I know, some small furniture exporters did not receive one because of its survival difficult, coupled with appreciation of the renminbi, because the capital of these enterprises Zhouzhuanbukai to close up shop."

An example is located in Dongguan Huang Chung Village Zhongtang "Daewoo Furniture Co., Ltd." to the rising costs due to unbearable pressure at the end of "out of business," company boss wages escape.

"When this phenomenon more in 2008, and now there, but not much." Won the same furniture in the nave of the person in charge of health, told reporters.

According to incomplete statistics, the 2008 financial crisis, by the sharp decline in export orders, raw material and labor costs, the export tax rebate rate cut and other factors, the furniture city of Dongguan, the closure of the furniture industry of the year 116.

Worrying situation early exit

Despite last year's adjustment, the recovery in external demand profile gradually emerge, but the furniture export enterprises in Dongguan are now facing the situation is still worrisome. Investment Advisor in Senior Fellow, Bo Gao Xuan told reporters an interview earlier this year, furniture export situation is not optimistic.

Bo Gao Xuan believe that China's furniture exports this year mainly due to three major difficulties: raw material costs, labor costs rise and the pressure of RMB appreciation. "Some of the furniture industry's bargaining power is not strong, which leads to thinning of corporate profits, the risk increased.

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